December 12th, 2024

Germany’s central bank says the economy apparently returned to growth in the 2nd quarter

By The Associated Press on July 17, 2023.

BERLIN (AP) – The German economy appears to have returned to slight growth in the April-June period after shrinking for two consecutive quarters, the country’s central bank said Monday.

Germany’s national statistics office said in late May that Europe’s biggest economy contracted by 0.3% in the first three months of this year, marking the second consecutive decline that is one definition of a recession. Gross domestic product declined by 0.5% in last year’s fourth quarter.

In its monthly report, the Bundesbank said economic output appears to have “increased slightly” in the second quarter, without quantifying the expected gain.

It said private consumption apparently stabilized, thanks to a solid labor market, pay increases and the lack of a further significant increase in inflation. It added that supply bottlenecks declined, which together with a solid cushion of orders prevented a worse showing in the industry and construction sectors.

The central bank did, however, point to declining demand from foreign customers, higher costs for financing investments at home and a decline in business confidence. It said the economic recovery over the rest of this year could be “somewhat more hesitant” than it forecast last month.

A month ago, the Bundesbank forecast that Germany’s GDP would shrink by 0.3% this year before recovering to grow by 1.2% next year and 1.3% in 2025.

The national statistics office is due to release preliminary second-quarter GDP figures on July 31.

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